Alexander Engemann, MJLST Staffer
To maximize their effectiveness, police agencies are constantly looking to use the most sophisticated preventative methods and technologies available. Predictive policing is one such technique that fuses data analysis, algorithms, and information technology to anticipate and prevent crime. This approach identifies patterns in data to anticipate when and where crime will occur, allowing agencies to take measures to prevent it.[1] Now, engulfed in an artificial intelligence (“AI”) revolution, law enforcement agencies are eager to take advantage of these developments to augment controversial predictive policing methods.[2]
In precincts that use predictive policing strategies, ample amounts of data are used to categorize citizens with basic demographic information.[3] Now, machine learning and AI tools are augmenting this data which, according to one source vendor, “identifies where and when crime is most likely to occur, enabling [law enforcement] to effectively allocate [their] resources to prevent crime.”[4]
Both predictive policing and AI have faced significant challenges concerning issues of equity and discrimination. In response to these concerns, the European Union has taken proactive steps promulgating sophisticated rules governing AI applications within its territory, continuing its tradition of leading in regulatory initiatives.[5] Dubbed the “Artificial Intelligence Act”, the Union clearly outlined its goal of promoting safe, non-discriminatory AI systems.[6]
Back home, we’ve failed to keep a similar legislative pace, even with certain institutions sounding the alarms.[7] Predictive policing methods have faced similar criticism. In an issue brief, the NAACP emphasized, “[j]urisdictions who use [Artificial Intelligence] argue it enhances public safety, but in reality, there is growing evidence that AI-driven predictive policing perpetuates racial bias, violates privacy rights, and undermines public trust in law enforcement.”[8] This technological and ideological marriage clearly poses discriminatory risks for law enforcement agencies in a nation where a black person is already exponentially more likely to be stopped without just cause as their white counterparts.[9]
Police agencies are bullish about the technology. Police Chief Magazine, the official publication of the International Association of Chiefs of Police, paints these techniques in a more favorable light, stating, “[o]ne of the most promising applications of AI in law enforcement is predictive policing…Predictive policing empowers law enforcement to predict potential crime hotspots, ultimately aiding in crime prevention and public safety.[10] In this space, facial recognition software is gaining traction among law enforcement agencies as a powerful tool for identifying suspects and enhancing public safety. Clearview AI stresses their product, “[helps] law enforcement and governments in disrupting and solving crime.”[11]
Predictive policing methods enhanced by AI technology show no signs of slowing down.[12] The obvious advantages to these systems cannot be ignored, allowing agencies to better allocate resources and manage their staff. However, as law enforcement agencies adopt these technologies, it is important to remain vigilant in holding them accountable to any potential ethical implications and biases embedded within their systems. A comprehensive framework for accountability and transparency, similar to European Union guidelines must be established to ensure deploying predictive policing and AI tools do not come at the expense of marginalized communities. [13]
Notes
[1] Andrew Guthrie Ferguson, Predictive Policing and Reasonable Suspicion, 62 Emory L.J. 259, 265-267 (2012)
[2] Eric M. Baker, I’ve got my AI on You: Artificial Intelligence in the Law Enforcement Domain, 47 (Mar. 2021) (Master’s thesis).
[3] Id. at 48.
[4] Id. at 49 (citing Walt L. Perry et al., Predictive Policing: The Role of Crime Forecasting in Law Enforcement Operations, RR-233-NIJ (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2013), 4, https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/ pubs/research_reports/RR200/RR233/RAND_RR233.pdf).
[5] Commission Regulation 2024/1689 or the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 June 2024 laying down harmonized rules on artificial intelligence and amending Regulations (Artificial Intelligence Act), 2024 O.J. (L 1689) 1.
[6] Lukas Arnold, How the European Union’s AI Act Provides Insufficient Protection Against Police Discrimination, Penn. J. L. & Soc. Change (May 14,2024), https://www.law.upenn.edu/live/news/16742-how-the-european-unions-ai-act-provides#_ftn1.
[7] See Margaret Hu, Algorithmic Jim Crow, 86 Fordham L. Rev. 633, 664 (2017),
https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=5445&context=flr. (“Database screening and digital watchlisting systems, in fact, can serve as complementary and facially colorblind supplements to mass incarcerations systems. The purported colorblindness of mandatory sentencing… parallels the purported colorblindness of mandatory database screening and vetting systems”).
[8] NAACP, Issue Brief: The Use of Artificial Intelligence in Predictive policing, https://naacp.org/resources/artificial-intelligence-predictive-policing-issue-brief (last visited Nov. 2, 2024).
[9] Will Douglas Heaven, Artificial Intelligence- Predictive policing algorithms are racist. They need to be dismantled, MIT Tech. Rev. (July 17, 2020), https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/07/17/1005396/predictive-policing-algorithms-racist-dismantled-machine-learning-bias-criminal-justice/ (citing OJJDP Statistical Briefing Book. Estimated number of arrests by offense and race, 2020. Available: https://ojjdp.ojp.gov/statistical-briefing-book/crime/faqs/ucr_table_2. Released on July 08, 2022).
[10] See The Police Chief, Int’l Ass’n of Chiefs of Police, https://www.policechiefmagazine.org (last visited Nov. 2, 2024);Brandon Epstein, James Emerson, and ChatGPT, “Navigating the Future of Policing: Artificial Intelligence (AI) Use, Pitfalls, and Considerations for Executives,” Police Chief Online, April 3, 2024.
[11] Clearview AI, https://www.clearview.ai/ (last visited Nov. 3, 2024).
[12] But see Nicholas Ibarra, Santa Cruz Becomes First US City to Approve Ban on Predictive Policing, Santa Cruz Sentinel (June 23, 200) https://evidentchange.org/newsroom/news-of-interest/santa-cruz-becomes-first-us-city-approve-ban-predictive-policing/.
[13] See also Roy Maurer, New York City to Require Bias Audits of AI-Type HR Technology, Society of Human Resources Management (December 19, 2021), https://www.shrm.org/topics-tools/news/technology/new-york-city-to-require-bias-audits-ai-type-hr-technology.